What do we do after riding rough seas?
There are three main stages to the types of moves we've been seeing
- What we do when they look like happening?
- What we do while they're happening?
- What we do after they happen?
What do we do when they look like happening?
It's advisable to pull ourselves out from the lower timeframes and look at the higher ones. Forget the short term tech and look at the longer term stuff. They hold greater strength in my experience and provide a lower risk way to trade outside of the intraday noise.
Let's take USDJPY and the fibs I highlighted yesterday
USDJPY daily chart
Any of those first three fibs were tradable. Of course having the guts to do it when the proverbial is hitting the fan is the key. Also, I don't think there were many of us who thought we'd see such volatile moves anyway, so who's going to stick an order in 300-500 pips below the market just in case we get a move like that? The main point is that if you have the tech levels drawn up there's no reason why you can't trade them. You've reduced the noise and could get yourself into a very healthy trade
What do we do while they are happening?
This is the stage I highlighted yesterday with the Dow. Now we can come down to the lower timeframes. Take a blank page and let the price action build the tech for you. Let it show you where the market is buying and selling and when you've built up a good enough picture you have your levels to trade. There's no need to be a hero but you have your lower risk entry points, your levels to lean against. Trading doesn't get much more live than watching a 5 or 10 minute chart and deciphering the price action where moves are much bigger than normal
What do we do after?
Can we get back to normal? That's what we need to look for. The normal intraday/short term tech may have been blown out of the water but now it's time to see how much of it reasserts itself
1.1450 was level I was looking at in EURUSD yesterday just before it all kicked off. Today we tested it and bounced over 50 pips, then held it for a while before breaking. We've now seen yesterday's low support taken out and become resistance
EURUSD 15m chart
Slowly the short term tech comes back into play. Plenty of caution is still needed but we can start to move back to trading normally as the dust settles
Reacting to markets is all part of trading but once again, having some simple rules can make it the difference between feeling like you're in the middle of a tornado and being in control.