So says an article in the WSJ which highlights that China’s growth will slow sharply during the coming decade to 3.9% as its productivity nose dives and the country’s leaders fail to push through tough measures to remake the economy, according to a report expected to come out today.
Such a dramatic drop could seriously impact on an already fragile global recovery but the WSJ also reports that
the business-research group the Conference Board also finds that multinational companies in China would benefit. Lean times would give foreign firms more local talent to choose from. Foreign companies and investors could also expect “more hospitable” treatment from Communist Party and government officials and a wider selection of Chinese firms they could acquire, according to the report, which was shared with The Wall Street Journal.
Says the Conference Board
Foreign companies should realize that China is in a long, slow fall in economic growth.The competitive game has changed from one of investment-driven expansion to one of fighting for market share.
Officials representing China’s State Council referred questions to its National Bureau of Statistics, which didn’t respond. Senior officials of the Communist Party are gathering in Beijing for a major policy meeting that opens today and is expected to discuss the slowdown.
The Conference Board forecasts that China’s annual growth will slow to an average of 5.5% between 2015 and 2019, compared with last year’s 7.7%. It will downshift further to an average of 3.9% between 2020 and 2025, according to the report.
China is scheduled to report its third-quarter economic growth tomorrow (Tuesday).
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