Bank of Japan Tankan survey for Q4

Tankan Large Mfg Index: 10 - Highest since December last year. Up for the first time in a year and a half

  • expected 10, prior was 6

Tankan Large Mfg Outlook: 8

  • expected 9, prior was 6

Tankan Large Non-Mfg Index: 18

  • expected 19, prior was 18

Tankan Large Non-Mfg Outlook: 16

  • expected 18, prior was 16

Tankan Large All Industry Capex: +5.5%

  • expected +6.1%, prior was +6.3%
  • So, big firms are looking to increase capital expenditure for this fiscal year (ends in March 2017) by 5.5% ... a fall from estimates of +6.3% in the prior survey. Not a positive.

Tankan Small Mfg Index: 1

  • expected -1, prior was -3

Tankan Small Mfg Outlook: -4

  • expected -2, prior was -5

Tankan Small Non-Mfg Index: 2

  • expected 2, prior was 1

Tankan Small Non-Mfg Outlook: -2

  • expected 1, prior was -2

More:

  • Large manufacturers see USD/JPY rate at 104.90 average for FY2016

(Given where we are currently then you'd have to think they'll be sellers of USD/JPY up here)

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  • The Bank of Japan Tankan survey is of more than 10,700 firms
  • Survey conducted from November 14 to December 13