Draghi: Inflation elevated on energy and indirect taxes but coming down
- Inflation should remain in-line with price stability
- Inflation expectations firmly anchored
- Economic weakness in EZ expected to extend into next year
- Should recover in 2013
- Main refinancing operations (MRO) at full allotment on fixed rates until at least July(Unlimited borrowing for banks)
- Indicators point toward further weakness in Q4 though some have stabilized
- Gradual recovery later in 2013
- Cuts GDP forecasts
- ECB forecasts GDP to contract between 0.4 and 0.6% this year
- Sees GDP between +0.3% and -0.9% next year; Was at -0.4% and +1.4%
- Price stability risks broadly balanced
- 2013 inflation forecast 1.1% to 2.1%
- Loan demand weakness due to weak GDP outlook, risk aversion balance sheet adjustment
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