A Reuters poll of economists:

  • See 85% chance of Fed hike by year end
  • See 55% chance of two Fed hikes this year

On the BOE they see a 53% chance of a hike by the end of Q1 2016, compared to 60% in a July 20 poll.

I think economists are getting ahead of themselves with a call for two hikes. If there's no hike in Sept, the probability of two hikes goes to zero.

In any case, the market isn't overly concerned what economists think.