• Fed may have to start exit in 6-9 months
  • Conditions may warrant a rate increase in late 2012
  • Sees inflation avg 2% in 2012, 2013
  • Jobless rate around 7% at end of 2013, 7.7% at end of 2012
  • Sees 2.5-3.0% economic growth this year
  • If outlook for inflation fell or unemployment rose sufficiently, would recommend further accomodation