Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius in a note to clients:
Still forecasting a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September FOMC meeting
But says there are persuasive reasons them to wait until the new year:
- "Our forecast remains that the Fed policy committee will hike rates at the September meeting, but ...this remains a close call"
- "There is a strong risk management case for delaying liftoff"
Hatzius says there is a lot of uncertainty around the outlook for the economy & the labor market
- Says much of Q1 weakness was spurious
- But a substantial rebound is not automatic