More from Cleveland Fed Pres. Loretta Mester
- US inflation is lower than the Fed's goal but will eventually rise if recovery continues
- She expects US unemployment rate to end year in 7% to 8% range
- US economy is still far from achieving both inflation and employment goals
- Fiscal and monetary stimulus is meant to limit longer run damage to economy but recovery is still fragile
- The longer crisis goes on the more disruptive it will be; some people will have to find work in new areas
- Monetary policy is well calibrated and asset purchases are providing accommodation
- Too early to say if more asset buying is needed
- Sees inflation slightly above 1% year-end
- It's still a fragile recovery
The Fed's projections for end of year unemployment came in at 7.6% in their central tendencies projections after the last Fed meeting. PCE inflation is estimated at 1.2%. As such, Mesters estimates are in line with those projections.