An unchanged call for the Reserve Bank of Australia even after the better inflation figures earlier:
ANZ:
- We still expect a rate rise from the RBA in July despite the deceleration of monthly inflation (though the risk of a pause increases).
- CPI ex volatile items and holidays barely moved in May.
- Strong jobs momentum may also sway the RBA’s decision towards a rise.
ANZ are forecasting a +25bp cash rate hike. The RBA meet on July 4.