A note from Rick Rieder, chief investment officer of global fixed income at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager. Info via Reuters report:

  • Fed could raise interest rates to 6%
  • and keep them there for an extended period of time

This follows Powell speaking on Tuesday US time:

Rieder:

  • "We think there’s a reasonable chance that the Fed will have to bring the Fed Funds rate to 6%, and then keep it there for an extended period to slow the economy and get inflation down to near 2%,"

The Reuters report also adds:

  • Goldman Sachs said in a note on Tuesday that it had raised its forecast for the so-called terminal rate by 25 basis points to a range of 5.5%-5.75%.

(GS have added in a +25bp hike in July to its forecast to take their terminal rate projection higher).

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The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meet on March 21 to 22.

Jerome Powell March 7 2023