BOE Bailey
  • Wage bargaining has surprised to the upside
  • There has been a very large terms of trade shock in this country
  • Many indicators are signalling a fall in inflation, which will be marked by the end of this year
  • Question is: As headline inflation comes down, will we see inflation expectations continue to come down and will that impact wage bargaining?
  • There is not group think at the MPC at the moment

Dhingra:

  • Labour market continues to ease as MPC's hiking cycle takes effect with a lag
  • Pass-through of level changes to wages would not necessarily pose a risk to our target in the medium term
  • Not yet evidence to suggest firms will seek to increase their margins
  • Domestic factors are likely to continue to ease the pressure on CPI inflation

The pound is lower on the initial comments from Bailey, falling to 1.2527 from 1.2553.