BOE Pill
  • Following Kwarteng statement, we saw significant repricing of financial assets
  • Repricing of financial assets reflects normalization after easy policy
  • Repricing must be seen as part of global trend
  • There is clearly a UK-specific element to repricing
  • We are monitoring UK element very closely
  • BOE must ensure orderly and well-functioning markets
  • MPC is not indifferent to repricing of financial assets
  • Repricing has a big impact on UK macro developments
  • We must factor market moves into outlook for monetary policy
  • Recent market developments add to challenge of inflation target
  • Market developments must also be seen in context of last week's fiscal news and energy prices
  • Monetary policy has limitations for fine tuning short term developments
  • It's best to take a lower-frequency, more considered approach
  • As we get into December, we should see inflation decelerate
  • Hard not to draw conclusions that we will need significant monetary policy response

The final comment put a bid into the pound. He downplayed the need for a inter-meeting move but endorsed the idea of a larger hike. For the upcoming Nov 3 meeting, there's an 85% chance of 125 bps priced in.