SF Fed President Mary Daly
SF Fed President Mary Daly

They're going to hold too long. It was written in stone they would hold too long after they blew it on inflation.

  • Initial claims still coming in low
  • We see cautious optimism in the business community
  • At this point, the risks to inflation and employment are in better balance
  • From contacts, concerns now are the ones we had in 2019
  • There's no evidence that stagflation or recession is in our future