Fed Williams

Feds Williams speaking on Bloomberg TV says:

  • We are seeing some early signs consumers shifting spending patterns
  • Consumer shifting more to services
  • Expects spending pattern to continue this year
  • With very high inflation , Fed needs to focus on bringing inflation down
  • Labor market basically back to almost where it was pre-pandemic
  • Fed needs to move expeditiously to a more normal policy levels
  • We need to get back to more neutral level, but data will guide timeline for that
  • Fed needs to reverse policy actions from March 2020
  • Pace of rate hikes depend on path of economy, but 50 basis points at next meeting is a reasonable option
  • The neutral rate is still in low 2% -2.5% range
  • Fed has to key focus on real interest rates
  • We need to get real interest rates back to more normal levels by next year
  • Fed may need to go above the neutral rate depending upon inflation
  • Those decisions will be made as the economy evolves
  • As Fed tightenings policy, underline trend in inflation will peak soon and come down later this year
  • Fed has to percent inflation goal, does not want to move above that
  • Our monetary policy tool of interest rates is suited to current imbalances in the economy
  • We need to get job openings down to a level consistent with maximum employment
  • We can achieve a soft landing
  • Fed is in a good place with monetary policy
  • On the balance sheet, I do expect we will get that underway in June if we take decision in May

The US stocks futures implying a lower opening after Feds Williams as the prices drift to the downside in premarket trading

  • S&P index -12 points
  • Dow industrial average unchanged
  • NASDAQ index -35 points