ny fed williams
  • There's still more data to come before next FOMC meeting
  • Inflation is far too high but moving down
  • Policy is in a good place, is data dependent
  • We are seeing movement in the right direction for the economy
  • It's an open question is mon pol is restrictive enough
  • The latest consumer spending data has been strong
  • Expects unemployment rate to rise to low 4% range

Fed pricing is just 7% for the Sept meeting but close to 50/50 for Nov 1.