Reserve Bank of New Zealand

As I said yesterday, again, the RBNZ is hiking rates into a recession.

Statement from the RBNZ now confirming this if there is any doubt:

  • Actual and expected inflation is too high and needs to be reduced.
  • We expect spending to slow and unemployment levels to increase as more people join the workforce over the coming year.
  • Expect spending to slow and unemployment levels to increase as more people join the workforce over the coming year
  • It is anticipated that the level of employment will remain high.
  • Even with the expected slowdown in the period ahead, it is anticipated that the level of employment will remain high

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The path of the RBNZ rate hikes, so far (pic is from November 23, the last time the Bank met - the next meeting is late February 2023)

rbnz cash rate 23 November 2022