Professor Allan Lichtman says he uses just 13 true/false questions to pick the White house winner

I saw this in Business Insider over the weekend and thought it was interesting, as it is basically an algorithmic methodology, not a poll.

The true or false answers seem to leave little room for judgement

  • "The keys are 13 true/false questions, where an answer of 'true' always favours the reelection of the party holding the White House, in this case the Democrats.
  • And the keys are phrased to reflect the basic theory that elections are primarily judgments on the performance of the party holding the White House.
  • And if six or more of the 13 keys are false - that is, they go against the party in power - they lose.

Here is the link to BI.

What do FXL traders say?

Yeah, OK, I probably do need to do some work on the graphic ;-)