Citigroup's latest commodity report highlights the impact of a Donald Trump presidential election win

They say:

  • Polls have started to tighten
  • Have raised their probability of a Trump victory
  • Expect a Trump win would bring out higher volatility in gold and forex
  • Which should lead to higher volumes in other precious metals

Citi give Mr. T a 40% chance of winning (previously they had him at a 35% chance)

More:

  • Citi's base case is for a Clinton victory ... the continuity would leave U.S. and global growth expectations relatively unchanged
  • "But a Trump victory is a wild card ... this, among lingering uncertainties from Brexit and elsewhere, may cap the prospects for global growth to pick up in the remainder of the year"

Bloomberg for more

Weekly gold chart: