Industrial
Production HICP – December
– October – (final)
%mom %yoy %mom %yoy
Median Forecast -0.3 2.4 0.1 3.0
High forecast 0.3 4.2 0.3 3.0
Low forecast -2.8 1.4 0.0 3.0
Previous period -2.0 2.2 0.3 3.0
–
Number of responses 14 11 12 13
–
4Cast na na 0.1 3.0
Barclays Cap. 0.1 2.4 0.0 3.0
BNP Paribas -2.5 2.8 0.3 3.0
Capital Economics 0.0 2.6 0.1 na
Citi -0.5 1.9 0.0 3.0
Commerzbank 0.3 2.1 0.3 3.0
Credit Agricole -2.8 2.9 na na
DZ Bank 0.1 na 0.1 3.0
ING -0.2 1.5 0.1 3.0
Natixis 0.1 2.8 0.1 3.0
Soc. Generale -0.3 1.4 0.1 3.0
Standard Chartered -0.4 2.1 0.1 3.0
UBS -1.6 4.2 na 3.0
Unicredit na na na 3.0
West LB -0.3 na 0.1 3.0
Westpac -1.0 na na na
—
Employment PMI – flash
– 3Q – – December –
%qoq %yoy mfg svc
Median Forecast 0.1 3.0 46.0 47.0
High forecast 3.0 3.0 47.0 48.3
Low forecast -0.2 -0.1 45.3 45.5
Previous period 0.3 0.4 46.5 47.5
–
Number of responses 6 5 10 10
–
4Cast na na 46.0 47.0
Barclays Cap. 0.1 0.6 45.3 45.5
BNP Paribas na 3.0 na na
Capital Economics na na 46.0 47.0
Citi -0.2 na 45.8 46.2
Commerzbank na 3.0 46.0 47.0
DZ Bank 3.0 3.0 na na
ING na na 47.0 47.0
Natixis -0.1 -0.1 46.6 45.8
Soc. Generale 0.0 na 45.7 47.0
Unicredit na na 45.9 47.6
West LB 0.1 na 45.4 48.3
—
Trade
Balance (SA)
– October –
E Bln
Median Forecast 0.1
High forecast 0.9
Low forecast -2.8
Previous period 2.1
–
Number of responses 4
–
Barclays Cap. -2.8
Capital Economics 0.5
Citi 0.9
West LB -0.4
———————————————————————–
* Median is based on above forecasts and is not intended to represent
a consensus.
The survey was conducted on Friday, December 9.
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$GDS$,M$G$$$,M$XDS$,M$X$$$]