• Contraction projected to reach -3.25%
  • Overall Portugal program “on track”
  • Growth in 2013 in Portugal “more shallow” than previously projected
  • Noticeable progress in Portugal’s structural reforms
  • Financing projections in Portugal’s program “remain valid”
  • Further increase in unemployment poses risk to Portugal’s program
  • “Urgent resolution” needed in debt of Portugal’s state-owned enterprises
  • Portugal may need to implement deeper labor market reforms
  • Portugal banks will struggle to meet 2012 recapitalization needs
  • Portugal debt now predicted to peak at 115% GDP in 2013

Dow Jones reporting.

Elsewhere EU official:

  • IMF decision on fresh Portugal aid instalment expected Wednesday
  • Assumption is that Portugal won’t need 2nd program