• Worst may be nehind labor market, long way to go
  • Recovery may be well advanced before significant reduction in unemployment
  • It would be wrong to aim monetary policy for pre-recession employment levels
  • Premature to assume a reversal of Fed’s accommodating policy
  • Not appropriate to link “extended period” to any specific time frame

Bottom line: Strong payrolls or not this Friday, the Fed’s in no hurry to hike. That’s good for risky assets, if the market reverts to full-fledged carry trade mode.