from BBB- to BB+, with a negative outlook

  • Says large fiscal imbalances, high debts means rating no longer consistent with investment grade
  • Sees GDP down 3%in 2012, recession makes deficit reduction much more challenging
  • State owned enterprises “key source” of fiscal risk.
  • Could face further downgrades if growth/economy weakens
  • Recapitalization of portuguese banks needed
  • Liquidity risk may rise after EU/IMF deal

EUR/USD around 1.3370 and taking little notice so far to the announcement.