The firm also sees a reduced chance of a no-deal Brexit

Brexit
  • Revised/Delayed Brexit seen at 60% (previously 55%)
  • Second referendum seen at 35% (unchanged)
  • No-deal Brexit seen at 5% (previously 10%)

The change in odds come after the no-deal votes yesterday following comments by the firm that a third vote on May's Brexit deal is likely. They now see a 60% probability that May will get her Brexit deal ratified while saying that there is a "considerable chance" that Brexit will still be reversed through a second referendum.