Goldman Sachs economists with their projections for the EUR/USD and more
This in brief from a client note (bolding mine):
Europe …
- Growth is cooling (as confirmed by the September flash PMIs)
- ECB is gradually ending asset purchases but is in no rush to hike
- domestic inflationary pressures are slowly building
- broad Euro area economic and policy outlook has not changed much in recent months
GS note a risk coming up, but it won't come to a head this week:
- The Italy Stability Programme, which will be published by September 27, could shake things up
- this is unlikely to be the "moment of truth", as this is just one step in a process that could last into early 2019
For the currency:
- Our bottom line remains that EUR is "going nowhere fast" as there are a number of issues that need to be resolved before EUR can break out of its narrow range
Forecasts (ignore the 'current spot' column)