Ifo economist Wohlrabe: Uncertainty has risen further and will increase further in next months
- Expects German growth of 0.1% in Q2, Q3
- German economy continues to do well compared to rest of Europe, it could get worse (“compared to rest of Europe”, BIG deal)
- Export expectations have almost stabilised, lower euro rate is helping
- Does not see German AAA credit rating in danger, Moody’s statement was warning not to overstretch Germany
- Consumption continues to be robust, retail is the bright spot in Ifo survey
- Private consumption has not yet been hit by crisis, no signs yet of that changing
- Sees no reason for further interest rate cut, uncertainty is coming from politics
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