IMF revises up 2011 global growth forecast to 4.4% vs October projection of 4.2%
- Sees 2012 growth at 4.5%
- Revises 2011 growth for advanced economies to 2.5% from 2.2% in October
- Forecast 2011, 2012 growth in emerging and developing countries at 6.5%
- IMF revision of 2011 global forecast due to stronger than expected H2 2010 growth, U.S. tax cuts
- Revises up 2011 U.S. growth to 3.0% vs October forecast of 2.3%, sees 2012 at 2.7%
- Monetary accomodation needs to continue in advanced economies
- Baseline oil price projection in 2011 is $90/ bbl, up from October forecast of $79/bbl
- Maintains euro area growth forecasts for 2011 at 1.5%, rising to 1.7% in 2012
- Urgent measures needed to overcome sovereign, financial troubles in euro area
- Policies needed in emerging markets to prevent overheating, facilitate global economic rebalancing
- Effective size of European Stability Fund should be increased, have a more flexible mandate
- Global financial stability still not assured
- Balance sheet restructuring incomplete globally, leverage is still high
- Essential in some European countries that bank funding is sufficient, goes beyond national backstops
- Credible stress testing in EU banks needed with time-bound plans for recapitalisation and restructuring
- Emerging markets need to watch diligently for signs of sset price bubbles, excessive debt
Most Popular