Sentiment survey from the University of Michigan

  • Final Feb survey was 101.0
  • Expectations 85.3 vs 92.1 prior
  • Current conditions 112.5 vs 114.8 prior
  • 1-year inflation 2.3% vs 2.4% prior
  • 5-10-year inflation 2.3% vs 2.3% prior

Economists did a good job of estimating the initial hit but I would expect a fall in the final number and a sharp fall --- perhaps the largest one ever -- next month. Any bets on how far it falls?