I wrote yesterday about watching the triple doji in USD/CHF for signs of a big break. I was looking at the right pattern but the wrong pair.

NZD/USD broke down today after three days of sideways moves. Even with sentiment improving, the kiwi is having difficulty getting off the floor.

A modest retracement phase wouldn’t change the underlying positive dynamics of the pair but would be a healthy correction.

NZDUSD technical analysis

NZDUSD daily with 200-day moving avg

Look for a continued move down to 0.8160/80.

…and don’t take your eye off USD/CHF as the coil continues to tighten.