This from Reuters on the chance of a no deal hard Brexit

  • median forecast 25 percent - unchanged from an August estimate
  • "The chances of the UK leaving the EU has undoubtedly risen recently, and we have become less confident of an orderly exit," said Howard Archer at EY ITEM Club. "Nevertheless, we still think it is more likely than not that the UK and EU will come to a deal, although it could very well be uncomfortably late for ratification by March 2019."

Here is more from Reuters

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Gonna say it again, what a mess. Still, it hasn't stopped the BoE from hiking rates, we should get more on the expected path ahead today:

Or, at least a few clues.