SNB’s Jordan: Too early to tell if debt crisis is over
- Swiss franc peg has been effective and franc should depreciate over time
- Peg has limited damage to Swiss economy
- Short-term global outlook has worsened over last few months
- SNB’s baseline scenario sees Eurozone growth in 2013, yield data supports forecast of a gradual EU recovery
- Draghi bond-buying has calmed markets, announcement had positive impact in Switzerland
- Structural reforms are crucial to ending the debt crisis
- EUR/CHF at 1.20 or 1.21 is still too low
- Doesn’t expect Switzerland to fall into recession, growth will be ‘moderate’
- Swiss labour market will lose some momentum
- No threat of inflation in the foreseeable future
- Negative inflation will end this year
- Franc hasn’t depreciated as much as forecast but SNB will continue to enforce the EUR/CHF peg with utmost determination
- Ready to take further measures at any time, peg policy remains correct.
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