UK Forecasts: Mar Nationwide; GfK: Manuf PMI; Q4 GDP

LONDON (MNI) – Below is a survey of analysts’ forecasts for the UK
data out on March 30, 31 and June 1: the March Nationwide house price
survey; the third estimate of Q4 GDP and Q4 Current Account; the March
GfK consumer confidence index and the March PMI manufacturing survey.

[[

!Mar !Mar ! ! ! ! ! !
!Nation!Nation! ! ! ! Mar ! !
!wide !wide ! Q4 ! Q4 !Q4 ! GfK !Mar !
!House !House ! GDP ! GDP !Current! Consumer !PMI !
!Prices!Prices! % ch! % ch !Account! Confidence!Manuf. !
!m/m !y/y ! q/q ! y/y !Stg bln! Balance !Index !
Date Out !Mar 30!Mar 30!Mar30! Mar30!Mar 30 ! Mar 31 !Jun 1 !
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Median forecast 0.2 8.2 0.3 -3.3 -5.5 -13.0 56.8
High forecast 0.4 8.5 0.4 -3.0 -4.0 -11.0 57.5
Low forecast 0.0 8.0 0.3 -3.4 -6.6 -14.0 56.0
Previous period 0.0 0.0 0.3 -3.3 -4.7 -14.0 56.6
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Number of
responses 7 7 13 13 7 9 11
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4Cast 0.4 8.5 0.3 -3.4 n/a -11.0 56.8
Barclays Cap. n/a n/a 0.3 -3.3 -6.6 -13.0 56.0
BNP Paribas 0.3 8.3 0.4 -3.0 n/a -14.0 57.5
Capital Econ. n/a n/a 0.4 -3.2 -4.0 -14.0 56.5
Citi n/a n/a 0.3 -3.3 -6.4 n/a 57.0
Commerzbank n/a n/a 0.3 -3.0 n/a n/a n/a
Fortis n/a n/a 0.3 -3.3 n/a n/a 57.3
Global Insight 0.0 8.0 0.4 -3.2 n/a -13.0 56.8
Investec 0.2 8.2 0.3 -3.3 -5.2 -14.0 57.0
JP Morgan 0.2 8.2 0.3 -3.3 -5.7 -14.0 56.8
Lloyds 0.3 8.3 0.3 -3.3 -4.5 -13.0 56.1
Soc. Generale n/a n/a 0.3 -3.3 -5.5 -13.0 56.9
UBS 0.0 8.0 0.3 -3.3 n/a n/a n/a
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For further information contact David Robinson on 4420 7634 1624
or e-mail: drobinson@marketnews.com.

–London bureau: 0044 20 7634 1624; email: drobinson@marketnews.com

[TOPICS: M$B$$$,MABDS$,MABDA$]