–Adds Comments On Downward Revisions To ECB Staff’s Macro Forecasts
FRANKFURT (MNI) – The surprise decision of the European Central
Bank to cut key interest rates on Thursday by 25 basis points was taken
unanimously by the Governing Council, said ECB President Mario Draghi.
The cut was justified by signs of weakening of demand and eroding
confidence, namely in the PMI polls, new industry orders and analysts’
forecasts, Draghi explained to journalists, adding that economy appeared
to be heading toward a “mild recession”.
“Some of the downside risks have been materialising, which makes a
significant revision to forecasts and projections for average real GDP
growth in 2012 very likely,” he said.
Weaker economic activity should also dampen price pressures,
assuring that headline inflation will fall below 2% next year and remain
in line with price stability over the policy-relevant horizon, he said.
The central bank is confident that its decision is in line with
maintaining price stability, he said. “Long term inflation expectations
are anchored at 2%.”
“What we observe is that slow growth was heading towards a mild
recession by year end, whereby inflation will go down substantially in
the course of 2012,” Draghi elaborated.
“We concluded there was no threat to price stability were we to
lower interest rates by 25 basis point,” Draghi said. “No, we don’t see
deflation” either, he added.
Asked about the possibility of further rate cuts, he said, “We
never precommit on interest rates.”
Asked to qualify his priorities as new ECB president, Draghi
stressed that “continuity, credibility and consistency are of the
essence in the way we carry out the job.”
“I have a great admiration for the tradition of the Bundesbank,” he
revealed, inviting observers to check whether he would stick to that
line during the term of his presidency.
–Berlin bureau: +49-30-22 62 05 80; email: twidder@marketnews.com
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