NFP is coming up today, earlier previews:
This via TD:
forecast 140k for May
- we would view a number in this mid-100k range as an overdue correction to an unsustainable run rate for payroll growth, rather than the leading edge of a sharp slowdown in economic activity - although we recognize markets will take little comfort in the event
- we now expect job creation in the goods sector to decline as the ADP report suggested employment in the manufacturing and construction sectors retreated in May
- Likewise, we anticipate mean-reversion in services sector employment following the 200k+ print in April
TD sees: upside risks to our revised call
More:
- unemployment rate steady at 3.6%
- wages expected to rise 0.2% m/m.
- 3.1% y/y