• We need to watch services inflation very carefully.
  • Services inflation is still above a level that's compatible with on-target inflation.
  • Inflation was lower than expected when the BoE cut rates.
  • A gradual approach to removing monetary policy restraint will help us to observe risks to the inflation outlook.
  • The most important part of the budget is how businesses respond to higher employment costs.
  • Return of inflation to target has been faster than expected.
  • Not clear how the national insurance rise will play out.
  • H1 GDP growth was noticeably stronger than expected.
  • Evidence points to fading second-round effects.
  • I see a risk of lingering persistence of wage pressures.
  • Recent evidence has been that inflation has been lower than expected but we don't know if that will continue.
  • A gradual approach to rate cuts allows BoE to adjust to evidence.
BoE's Bailey
BoE's Bailey