China January 2024 inflation data

CPI +0.3%

  • expected 0.4%, prior 0.1%

CPI -0.8% y/y

  • expected -0.5%, prior -0.3%
  • core inflation (excluding and energy prices, +0.4% y/y, from +0.6% in December 2023)

  • fastest pace of price falls since the GFC

PPI -0.2% m/m, producer prices dip in January for a 16th month

PPI -2.5% y/y

  • expected -2.6%, prior -2.7%

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OK, read this quietly, because we don't want to scare Chinese stock market bottom-pikers too much.

In December 2023 Chinese loan Prime rates were 3.45% for the one-year and 4.20% for the five-year:

  • the y/y inflation rate -0.3%

In January 2024 Chinese loan Prime rates were unchanged, still at 3.45% for the one-year and 4.20% for the five-year:

  • and the y/y inflation rate was -0.8%

So, yeah, real rates in China rose in January. Little wonder the stock markets are so shaky.

PBoC Governor Pan Gongsheng
PBoC Governor Pan Gongsheng

Poor chap, seems way out of his depth.