- Saudi Arabia may raise August crude prices to Asia to near record levels
- China June PMIs solid, but "Soft market demand is still the main problem ... " (NBS)
- USD back to little changed, China PMIs come in solid
- Australian private sector credit for May +0.8% m/m (expected +0.6%)
- China June Manufacturing PMI 50.2 (expected 50.5) Non-manufacturing 54.7 (expected 52.5)
- Canada’s biggest air carrier said it will make “meaningful” cancellations to flights
- PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.7114 (vs. estimate at 6.7053)
- New Zealand business confidence (June) -62.6% (prior -55.6%)
- Two BTC ETF applications denied by the US SEC on the same day
- Goldman Sachs is still looking to short USD/JPY
- Japan Industrial Production for May (preliminary) -7.2% m/m (expected -0.3%)
- UBS forecast 50bp rate hikes for the RBA in July and August, then more
- RBC on “the strongest fundamental oil market set up ... maybe ever” - WTI to $200?
- UK data - June business barometer 28 (prior 38), vehicle output +13.3% y/y
- More from South Korea: Industrial output m/m data misses estimates
- North Korean hackers Lazarus Group believed behind $100mn heist on blockchain Harmony
- Ecuador has declared a state of emergency in two oil producing areas
- Oil technical analysis - daily chart prints a reversal candle - unleash the bear?
- Updated NZD/USD forecast, 0.68 by year end if sentiment stabilises
- South Korea data on the slide: Business Outlook for July 82 vs. 85 in June
- Trade ideas thread - Thursday, 30 June 2022
- CNBC reports that crypto exchange Coinflex probably won’t resume withdrawals on Thursday
- "EU Moves Closer to Strict Anti-Money Laundering Rules on Crypto"
- WSJ reporting that "Iran, U.S. Nuclear-Deal Talks End Without Progress"
- Putin says he does not rule out tensions with Finland and Sweden
- The close: Small caps roughed up as quarter-end nears
- Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Sintra super-panel and a steady dollar bid
China’s official June PMIs posted a solid improvement in June as COVID restrictions eased back in major cities. All three PMIs (manufacturing, non-manufacturing and therefore the composite) moved above 50 and into expansion after 3 months in contraction. A spokesman from China’s National Bureau of Statistics (the publisher of these official PMIs) did flag that still-subdued demand in the economy poses a challenge to industry. Given what we are seeing these past few days with a jump in travel interest this may well be chipped away at in July. For now China sentiment is more positive. Of course markets remain wary of further outbreaks and the potential for harsh lock downs given the country's ongoing ‘zero’ tolerance policy.
Prior to the Chinese data release the USD had found a (small) bid almost across the majors board but the improved data saw interest flow out of the USD. It has not been a large move but EUR, GBP, NZD, CAD, and especially AUD all have net gained for the session here against the US$.
USD/JPY has spent the session straddling 136.60.
Oil has bounced just a little after its big shunt lower on Wednesday US time.