- Fed's Harker gave dovish comments on Wednesday, he is speaking again on Thursday, 1 June
- China Caixin Manufacturing PMI for May: 50.9 (expected 49.5)
- Australian Capex data for Q1 2023: Headline +2.4% q/q (1% expected)
- US House of Representatives have passed the debt limit deal bill
- PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0965 (vs. estimate at 7.0964)
- BlackRock on DM equities - earnings expectations too optimistic, economic damage ahead
- Japan Jibun Manufacturing PMI for May (final): 50.6 (prior 49.5)
- Oil price fall - ANZ does not expect OPEC will intervene with output cuts at June meeting
- Japan data - Q1 Business capex +11% y/y (+5.5% expected)
- UK - advertised starting salaries reached the highest level in two years
- ICYMI - Italy will set up a EUR1bn sovereign fund
- Australia final May manufacturing PMI 48.4 (prior 48.0)
- Re oil - Warren Buffett bought more Occidental shares
- “Fed Whisperer” Timiraos says the FOMC is likely to hold interest rates steady in June
- ICYMI: BoE MPC member Mann says UK has a bigger inflation problem than the US or Eurozone
- Barclays cuts its 2023 Brent forecast to US$87/bbl (from $92) & 2024 to US$89 (from $97)
- ICYMI: French Finance Minister said inflation was slowing down sharply
- BlackRock CEO Fink says inflation remains sticky, expects at least two more Fed rate hikes
- Private oil survey data shows large headline crude build vs a draw expected
- Trade ideas thread - Thursday, 1 June 2023
- US major indices close lower with the NASDAQ leading the way lower
- Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: June Fed hike odds dive after comments
The key data focus for the session here in Asia-Pacific today was the Caixin / S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for May 2023. This was expected to remain in contraction, especially following yesterday’s very disappointing official PMIs, those for China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). ICYMI:
Today’s PMI burst into expansion, handily beating expectations and much improved from April. The better result saw the Australian dollar improve on the session, as did the yuan and Chinese equity markets.
In other data Australian Q1 capex hit a 7-year high in Q1, the outlook for further business expenditure is solid. It should be noted that higher costs of equipment and building contributed to the improvements.
In Japan, the manufacturing PMI moved into expansion for the first time in 7 months. Capex data for Q1 showed gains for the eight consecutive quarter, plant and equipment investment jumped at the fastest rate since 2015.
The news of note, although expected, was the approval of the US bipartisan bill to suspend the government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling. The US House of Representatives voted with a large majority to pass the bill. It now heads to the Senate for its vote and is expected to pass there also. The news of the passing saw US equity index futures pop higher on Globex. This was quickly reversed though and, as I update, ES and NQ are not too far from their low.
Asian equity markets:
Japan’s Nikkei 225 +0.3%
China’s Shanghai Composite +0.4%
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng +0.8%
South Korea’s KOSPI -0.4%
Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 +0.4%