- Fed's Bowman and Powell will both speak on Monday. Let the 25 vs. 50 battle (re) commence!
- US politics - US Vice President Harris raises $55 million in California fundraisers
- Chinese stocks continue to surge
- Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Greene speaks on Monday, late NY time
- Japan chief cabinet secretary Hayashi says no comment on daily share moves
- China Caixin September Manufacturing PMI 49.3 (prior 50.4) Services 50.3 (prior 51.6)
- Australian August 2024 Private Sector Credit +0.5% m/m (expected +0.5%)
- China official PMI data: Manufacturing 49.8 (expected 49.5)
- PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0074 (vs. estimate at 7.0098)
- Japanese govmt official says industrial output will bounce back in September on autos
- USD/JPY higher to open the week - update after weekend news and Monday data
- New Zealand September business confidence 60.9 (prior 50.6)
- Japan data - August Industrial production -3.3% m/m (expected -0.9%)
- Japan August Retail Sales 2.8% y/y (expected 2.3%)
- The one word reason why Chinese authorities are piling into stimulus right now. Panic.
- Rabobank look for GBP to outperform EUR in the months ahead
- Not FX. Legendary singer-songwriter Kris Kristofferson has died.
- Talk of a Japanese election October 27
- US economy - "There is no denying it: among the best performing economies in 35+ years"
- Australia's budget surplus is AUD15.8bn, way better than the 9.8bn expected
- Brexit or Back In? UK finance minister to attend meeting of EU finance ministers
- Weekend - Taiwan on alert over 'multiple waves' of missile firing in inland China
- Hedge funds caught short China shares, huge losses exacerbated by Shanghai exchange glitch
- Trading New Zealand markets? NZ switched to daylight saving time over the weekend
- More stimulus from China over the weekend - banks instructed to cut mortgage rates
- Trade ideas thread - Monday, 30 September, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
- Monday morning open levels - indicative forex prices - 30 September 2024
- Austria's far-right partly likely won general election
- Newsquawk Week Ahead: US NFP, ISMs, EZ CPI, Japan Tankan & OPEC+ JMMC
- Weekly Market Outlook (30-04 October)
- Two to watch - Fed Chair Powell speech and NFP are bookend focal points this coming week
It was the final trading day for Chinese markets ahead of the week-long holidays. Markets close Tuesday 1 October and reopen on Tuesday 8 October. Over the weekend we had news of more stimulus from China, the People's Bank of China announced it'd be instructing banks to lower mortgage rates for existing home loans before October 31. In addition, three tier-1 cities (Guangzhou, Shanghai and Shenzhen) announced easings on home buying. Also from China today were disappointing September PMIs, both from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and S&P Global/Caixin. In the light of all the stimulus announced last week in China these were shrugged off, very emphatically. Chinese stock markets surged.
Japanese stocks, on the other hand, were smashed lower. Fingers were pointed at the prospect of higher interest rates, new PM Ishiba is in favour of BoJ normalisation. A four big figure drop in USD/JPY on Friday hasn’t helped either!
Japanese data releases showed better retail sales, but poor industrial output in August. A government official said production was weighed by poor weather – a typhoon! - and will bounce back in September.
In Japanese political news media reports are of a potential snap election being called for October 27.
From New Zealand we had improving business data. NZD/USD rose on the session, as did AUD/USD.
