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- Goldman Sachs have taken a knife to their China GDP forecasts: 5.4% for 2023 (6.0% prior)
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- BoA see S&P500 top before late July central banks, downside risk bigger before Labor Day
- UK data - Rightmove House Prices for June 0.0% m/m (prior + 1.8%)
- UBS revised down its China 2023 GDP growth forecast to 5.2%, from 5.7% previously
- New Zealand May Services PMI 53.3 (prior 50.1)
- Goldman Sachs says US inflation will not fall as quickly as markets are currently pricing
- China’s State Council considering various macroeconomic policies to boost demand
- ICYMI - Nomura slashes its forecast for China's 2023 GDP growth to 5.1% from 5.5%
- Head of Russian oil giant Rosneft says losing out on export share to other OPEC+ countries
- ICYMI - Russia close to striking long-term deals to sell substantial supplies of oil
- ICYMI - Fed's Goolsbee say FOMC is pausing for now to go scope out economic developments
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It was a quiet session in Asia today due to the US holiday on Monday sapping big investor interest. News and data flow was very light indeed. US Secretary of State Blinken met with Chinese officials over the weekend. He spent over 7 hours in talks with his counterpart, China's Foreign Minister Qin Gang. Reports on the meeting provided not detail at all, as yet, with only a round of saccharine 'work together' types of statements.
In other events, Goldman Sachs analysts joined in to became the latest bank to cut their forecasts for China’s economy, citing limited options to boost stimulus. UBS, Nomura, and Standard Chartered were amongst those that had already done so. The more subdued outlook for Chinese economic growth was cited by various commentators during the session as the reason for the fall in oil prices, and also AUD, NZD and CAD. EUR and GBP hung in a little better. USD/JPY has done very little at all on the day.
Asian equity markets:
Japan’s Nikkei 225 0%
China’s Shanghai Composite -0.5%
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng -1%
South Korea’s KOSPI -0.6%
Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 +0.6%
The offshore yuan was a mover, giving back some of the gains it made late last week:
