Little change to the initial estimate as German manufacturing activity holds up, with new orders hitting a six-month high. A positive takeaway is that the month saw the lowest incidence of supply delays since November 2020 but output remains constrained by COVID-related absences in the workforce. Markit notes that:
"Underlying demand for German manufactured goods was strong in February, with new order growth accelerating and the survey showing rising sales both domestically and internationally.
"Production continued to rise, but staff absences linked to the Omicron wave of the pandemic were a constraint on output and added to already stretched capacity, thereby contributing to a sharp rise in backlogs of work. However, with COVID cases in the country looking like they might have already peaked, this particular headwind will hopefully be only temporary. Furthermore, the pace of factory job creation remained rapid as manufacturers looked to address capacity shortfalls.
"Supply constraints showed further tentative signs of easing in February, and one of the positives from this was a fall in the rate of input cost inflation to an 11-month low.
"When the survey was conducted, firms were hopeful of further progress in the supply situation and were highly optimistic about the outlook. With the escalation of the situation in Ukraine since February's survey, and the surge in oil and gas prices that's come with it, downside risks to the sector's performance in 2022 have increased."