Goldman Sachs on China's currency and stock markets:

Chinese stocks may rally another 15%

  • 12-month index target for the MSCI China Index to 80 from 70
  • citing low valuations and multiple policy pivots in areas like housing, internet regulation and geopolitics
  • expects further earnings upside for the nation’s internet sector given a faster-than-expected reopening, macro recovery and normalizing of regulations

USD/yuan seen rising to 6.5 by the end of 2023

From the report:

  • “China looks well positioned across the growth, policy, and inflation cycles in a global context in 2023”
  • “The prevailing market backdrop leads us to believe that the downside risk of maintaining underweight or shorting Chinese stocks is meaningfully higher than going long”
usdcnh 09 January 2023 Goldman Sachs 09 January 2023