The info from MUFG has been around, but ICYMI.

In brief:

  • US dollar will likely rise initially if Trump wins election
  • Trump's remarks indicate a higher risk that he will implement inflationary tariffs more quickly than he did during his first term as president
  • Given the rise of the USD during October further gains could be limited, rise being 'priced in'
  • EUR/USD likely to break under 1.05, but not below parity
USD index, DXY - daily candles 30 October 2024 2