University of Michigan sentiment index
  • Prior was 59.7
  • Current conditions 68.6 vs 60.0 expected (prior 59.4)
  • Expectations 62.0 vs 59.5 expected (prior was 59.9)
  • One-year inflation expectations 4.0% vs 4.4% prior
  • 5-year inflation expectations 3.0% vs 2.9% prior

This survey is nothing more than a barometer of political sentiment and gasoline prices. That said, the Fed watches the inflation number closely and it was a contribution to the sudden switch to more-aggressive hiking in June (which is funny because it was later revised down).

The one-year number will certainly be welcome while the 5-year number is back to where it was for months.

Five year inflation expectations
Five year inflation expectations