US dollar gathers momentum as yields continue to rise

  • The market can only ignore bonds for so long

Yesterday's reversal higher in Treasury yields helped to lift the dollar but not as much as I would have expected. With a further 7 bps in US 10-year yields today, the climb has been too much to ignore.

The US dollar is at the highs of the day across the board, including a one-month high in USD/JPY -- up 32 pips to 157.52.

USDJPY daily
USDJPY daily

Yields began the climb yesterday after poor auction results in 2-year and 5-year notes. There is a 7-year sale today that will be closely scrutinized.

In the big picture, Treasury yields are now above where they were before the most-recent CPI report in a sign that the market isn't convinced that the inflation story is done, or is worried about unsustainable US deficits.

US 10 year yields
US 10 year yields

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