The House Jan 6 committeee in a 9-0 vote approved a report recommending criminal referrals for Trump.
Here are the PredictIt numbers for Trump vs DeSantis for the Republican nomination. As recently as last month Trump was ahead.
The charges would be:
1) Obstruction of an official proceeding
2) Conspiracy to defraud the US
3) Conspiracy to make a false statement
4) "Incite," "assist" or "aid and comfort" an insurrection