Evans on CNBC

  • Trade uncertainty seems to be weighing on business investment
  • He's comfortable with policy now but worried about inflation levels below 2%
  • I'd be more aggressive in defending 2% inflation target
  • Consumer and labour markets remain strong
  • Can look through price increases from tariffs
  • Policymakers should be overshooting 2% target to be symmetric
  • Inflation pressures seem not strong or absent
  • Would take it into account if the economy softens but that hasn't been seen
  • If there is more softening, policymakers need to ask if they are getting in the way of the economy
  • Markets are seeing something that I have not yet seen in the national data
  • We have to pay attention to data and market signals
  • Economy still solid but uncertainty higher

He's not as dovish as the bond market would like, especially for a guy who is more of a dove. The comments about overshooting are moving in that direction but he doesn't sound close to calling for a cut.

Quotable: Markets "seem to be seeing something that we're not seeing as quickly .. We need to pay attention to that."

... a trade war maybe?

Powell speaks at 1355 GMT today.