A poll of 70 economists done by Reuters shows:

  • 37 of 70 expect the ECB to hold the deposit rate at 3.75% on September 14
  • In addition a slim majority see ECB deposit rate of 4.0% by the year-end

So near 50% for a hike in September, and near 50% for one more hike by the year end. Sounds like a split decision.