Approaches the 100 bar MA on the 4 hour
The price of the GBPUSD has moved to a new session high and in the process is trying to extend above a topside trend line for the 2nd time today. The first try above (see red circles) failed. Keeping the same moving average this is the second try (at 1.2704). Stay above and the 100 bar MA on the 4-hour becomes the next target at 1.27244.
The last time the price traded above that 100 bar MA on the 4 hour was back up at 1.3000 back on May 13. The price fell below that 100 bar MA and the 100 day MA on that day around the same level and spent the next few weeks trending lower (the low reached 1.2558 last week). The correction off the low is now above the 1.2700 level but it still a relatively minor correction given the move lower. At the beginning of May the high reached 1.31756 before starting the move lower.
The high last week at 1.2742, the 1.2756 and the 38.2% at 1.2794 are other targets on more upside momentum. A move below the 1.2700 level will not be welcomed by buyers/bulls now. It will muddy the "break" waters.