• Recovery to be weak in euro zone, stronger in U.S.
  • China is the growth engine of the World economy, even stronger than initially expected
  • Some euro zone countries have severe structural problems
  • Membership in the euro zone cannot replace failed structural policy
  • No risk of euro zone break up because of Greece
  • Leaving euro would be unrealisitic, expensive for Greece
  • No euro zone bailout principle based on treaties must be taken seriously
  • Does not see stagnation, deflation in euro zone
  • Possibility of lost decade like in Japan is a worry to many economists
  • Exit strategies need to be careful, step by step, in monetary/fiscal policy
  • Risk of too early exit from accommodative measures

EUR/USD sits at 1.4710 exactly where it was when I sat down around 5 hours ago.