Cable hovering around session low, presently 1.5570.

  • Inflation to fall sharply in 2012, will be at low 3% level by March
  • Behaviour of CPI from Spring 2012 onwards more uncertain, more important for future monetary policy
  • Much of UK’s weak 2011 growth can be blamed on unavoidable fall in real living standards due to high cost for energy and imports
  • Euro zone crisis casting shadow over UK prospects for 2012
  • Near-term growth outlook has weakened very materially
  • Risk bank funding constraints will lead to tighter credit conditions
  • Hard to know how deep and persistent growth slowdown will be, hinge on euro zone